Posts Tagged ‘oil prices’

How Big is Canada’s Oil Subsidy to the US?

Posted by Jeff Rubin on January 7th, 2013 under SmallerWorldTags: , ,  • 20 Comments

Consider the tale of Suncor and Canadian Natural Resources, two of the largest oil sands producers in Alberta. Outwardly, they may appear quite similar. Each produces hundreds of thousands of barrels a day from the oil sands. And most of that oil eventually ends up in the same place—gas tanks across the continent. The path [...]

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Whatever Happened to $200 Oil?

Posted by Jeff Rubin on May 23rd, 2012 under SmallerWorldTags: , ,  • 22 Comments

Four years ago, when I was still chief economist at CIBC World Markets, I forecast that global economic growth was on pace to send oil prices to $200 a barrel by 2012. In short, the argument was based on a supply-driven analysis that weighed the sources of future oil supply against the prices that would [...]

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Why is the Arab world convulsing with social and political unrest when triple digit oil prices should be bringing enormous wealth to the region? The answer may be that the link between energy inputs and food prices suddenly makes soaring oil prices a double-edged sword in the world’s largest food importing region. Egyptians are about [...]

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There are many ways that oil shocks affect the economy, and none of them is good. As the prices of gasoline, diesel and home heating fuel rise, consumers’ energy bills eat up a growing share of their after-tax income, forcing cutbacks in more discretionary areas of spending. The next thing you know, people are going [...]

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EIA’s Forecast Is an Energy Fantasy Land

Posted by Jeff Rubin on December 22nd, 2010 under SmallerWorldTags: , , ,  • 20 Comments

The recently released base case that will be used in the upcoming Annual Energy Outlook 2011 from the US Department of Energy’s Energy Information Administration (EIA) paints a future of cheap and abundant energy for the US economy over the next quarter of a century. But its underlying assumptions are no more credible than those [...]

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